In an strange flip of climate activities for February-March, though picked up by models in time, scattered to reasonably popular/reasonable rains are envisioned to break out over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Andhra Pradesh and Yanam afterwards this 7 days.
This will appear about as a unusual very low-strain area can take form above the South-East Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Andaman Sea by tomorrow (Monday), India Meteorological Department (IMD) mentioned in an update this (Sunday) early morning.
Cyclonic circulation present
A causative cyclonic circulation will transfer in from the Strait of Malacca and arise around the South Andaman Sea by this evening by itself. Hefty rainfall is probable at isolated areas more than the Nicobar Islands nowadays. Thunderstorms accompanied with lightning and gusty winds (velocity 30-40 km/h) could stalk the greater Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
The Busan, South Korea-based APEC Climate Centre has by now come out with a forecast for a wetter than usual pre-monsoon year (March to Might) for India this yr. The US Nationwide Centres for Environmental Prediction sees the rising moist weather lasting until March 7 (Monday next) and sustaining with a lot less intensity into the subsequent 7 days, also. It also sees new development above the South-East Bay by the conclude of that week.
Squally weather conditions warning
The IMD has warned of squally climate (winds speeds of 40-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr to pretty much depression energy) around the South Andaman Sea and the adjoining South-East Bay currently and tomorrow (Sunday and Monday). Fishermen are not encouraged not to enterprise into these locations.
As for tomorrow (Monday), heavy rainfall might go on in excess of the Nicobar Islands when thunderstorms, accompanied with lightning and gusty winds (40-50 km/hr), may line up about the rest of the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Squally weather (wind speeds of 40-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr) may perhaps prevail for a second working day above the South Andaman Sea and the adjoining South-East Bay. Fishermen are advised not to enterprise into these regions.
Getting closer to TN coastline
As for Tuesday, the rough weather sample with squalls (wind speeds of 40-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr) may perhaps begin to address even more West and address the South-East and adjoining South-West Bay, nearer to the Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh coasts.
The quite following day (Wednesday, March 2), the IMD sees weighty rainfall lashing Coastal Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal and squally weather conditions (winds speeds of 40-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr) prevailing above the South-West and adjoining South-East Bay. Fishermen are not permitted to enterprise into these waters. These circumstances will sustain into the subsequent working day (Thursday) as properly.
Thunderstorms alert for East India
March 4-6 (Friday to Sunday) will see the unconventional damp temperature spreading further West and North into Tamilnadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Kerala and Mahe. Major rainfall is most likely over Coastal Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal. Squally weather conditions (wind speeds of 40-50 km/hr gusting to 60 km/hr) may prevail over the South-West and adjoining South-East Bay with fishermen remaining advised warning.
In the meantime, a truthful bit of weather conditions is going on more than North-West India with a western disturbance checking in in excess of Bathinda and neighbourhood in Punjab. It will induce isolated mild/average rain with thunderstorms and lightning up front over Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Sikkim and Chhattisgarh until eventually tomorrow (Monday).
Welcome rain for South
Scattered to reasonably widespread rainfall in excess of Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura all through this time period.
The incoming rainy session may well conclude a lean patch for Karnataka and Kerala whilst including to the surplus in excess of Tamil Nadu. The country as a whole has a surplus of 48 for every cent as of yesterday (January 1 to February 26) although marred by large to medium particular person deficits in Karnataka, Kerala, elements of Maharashtra, Gujarat and North-East India.
February 27, 2022